Publications

You are welcome to download, read and share any of the publications on this page. Stephanie is happy to discuss the content of any of these papers with you. Please be honourable in referencing any material from these papers that you quote or draw on.

The Future State Project: Meeting the challenges of the 21st century
Derek Gill, Stephanie Pride, Helen Gilbert, Richard Norman and Alec Mladenovic
Policy Quarterly, Volume 6, Issue 3. August 2010

This paper is an accessible summary of the longer ‘The Future State IPS working paper’.(see below) It consider the conditions of the 21st century and identifies four challenges to which the public management system of the future needs to be able to respond and two systemic shifts needed to enable these responses.
The Future State Policy Quarterly August 2010

The Future State: Institute of Policy Studies Working Paper 08/10
Institute of Policy Studies, Victoria University of Wellington, 2010
Derek Gill, Stephanie Pride, Helen Gilbert and Richard Norman

This paper presents the results of a scan of available futures’ material to identify the cross-cutting challenges facing New Zealand over the next 20 years and considers the ability of the current public management system to address those challenges. The paper identifies powerful global forces that will shape the context for New Zealand and influences that are unique to New Zealand, such as the extensive exclusive economic zone and continental shelf, and the completion of the Treaty of Waitangi claims settlement process.

The NZ public management system was designed to operate in stable and predictable conditions. Looking ahead to the conditions likely in the 21st century, the paper identifies four key challenges and a range of possible responses:
• affordability, which requires the capability for trajectory change;
• more complex problems involving many players which require the capability for leadership of issues, co-construction and co-production;
• a more diverse and differentiated population which requires the capability for differentiated responses;
• and a world of faster, less-predictable change which requires the capability for constant scanning and learning the way forward.
The paper identifies two deeper system shifts that may be necessary to support these four responses: rebalancing the focus towards whole-of-system performance; and supporting multiple modes of operating so that management approaches can be matched to context.
The Future State IPS WP 08/10

Futures Literacy in New Zealand
Journal of Futures Studies, September 2010 15 (1)
Stephanie Pride, Bob Frame and Derek Gill

This paper considers the conditions for the acquisition of futures literacy in New Zealand, using the 2008 FutureMakers project as a case study.
Journal of Future Studies Futures Literacy

New Zealand, New Futures
Chapter 1, Hatched e-book, Landcare Research Manaaki Whenua Press, 2010
Bob Frame and Stephanie Pride

This paper considers the 30 year history of futuring in New Zealand and suggests that New Zealand needs to build more foresight into its governance processes if the outcomes of decision-making are going to deliver a sustainable long term future. This in turn requires new modes of engagement and communication that challenge our deep-seated assumptions and create the space for meaningful change.
Hatched Chapter 1

Inside the Black Box: insights and questions from the FutureMakers project
Institute of Policy Studies Working Paper 09/03 March 2009
Derek Gill, Bob Frame, Stephanie Pride and Tanja Rother

This paper describes the process and the findings of the FutureMakers project. The FutureMakers project was a collaboration between three organizations with an interest in New Zealand’s ability to take the long view and a mandate to build capacity for futures thinking. FutureMakers commissioned a meta-analysis of extant futures work in New Zealand and orchestrated expert conversations to test the validity of the results of the meta-analysis and tease out some of the emerging patterns of change. The collective insights from these conversations were used to identify a set of 10 questions for New Zealand, all of which make different demands on the country and its collective leadership.
Inside the Black Box

A Question of Voice: Secondary Futures as an experiment in democratizing education design
Centre for Strategic Education Seminar Series 190, November 2009

Secondary Futures was a unique project, set up to explore new ways for government to engage with citizens and so create a vision for the future of schooling around which there was agreement. In this way, it signified the stake that both societies and individuals have in creating successful citizens of the future. This paper traces two of the trajectories of the Secondary Futures project as it explored the dimensions of this new space:
• a space between government and citizens where all voices, including those not traditionally heard in the debate shaping policy, can speak and have their contributions valued, and
• a space where possibilities for the future of education, not easily glimpsed from today, are given voice.
The paper describes how both the structure and the practice of the project created a “re-democratised space” where it was safe for all voices to speak and be heard and considers the critical importance of guardianship and “integrity of practice” in doing so. Twinned with this, it considers the impact of building futures literacy across varied and diverse communities as an enabler of participation in the conversation; an enabler of exploration, invention and discovery about the possibilities for an education system that would make all students successful. In the description of the Secondary Futures model that follows, the themes of guardianship and integrity, empowerment and sense-making are recurrent. The paper extracts what has been learned in the process of putting these new ways of working into practice in order to articulate a model that can be used by other jurisdictions and other sectors. While the paper seeks to present the model simply, the work on the ground from which it was drawn was, of necessity, complex, iterative and messy.
A Question of Voice